@prefix dcat: . @prefix dct: . @prefix foaf: . @prefix vcard: . @prefix xsd: . a dcat:Dataset ; dct:description """\r Invasive, non-native plants (weeds) are a major driver of declines in biodiversity and also cause economic damage across different land uses. Plant invasions may be exacerbated by other components of global change, but how these drivers will interact is not always clear. To address these problems, greater coordination and a shift toward more proactive approaches are now required. To support better approaches to managing weeds nationally, we undertook a two-year strategic programme to explore potential major changes to Aotearoa New Zealand’s environment and society over the next 30 years and assess how these changes could affect the ecology and management of plant invasions in the future.\r \r ##What does the future hold for Aotearoa New Zealand (AoNZ) and its biological heritage?##\r \r We used a scenario-building approach to explore possible futures for AoNZ, including their potential environmental, policy, economic, and social implications. This approach enabled us to integrate a range of expertise and knowledge across disciplines to consider how current trends and ideas might extend to affect the state of AoNZ in 2050. We chose this 30-year timeframe as distant enough to allow for change, while near enough that current decision-making could influence outcomes. It is also at the far end of most research and management planning horizons. The scenarios we developed can help identify future conservation challenges that decision-makers and managers are likely to face, and direct research programmes to meet these future needs. The approach we used can be easily adapted to develop additional scenarios, particularly as new trends emerge.\r \r ##Summary of scenario-building approach##\r \r We solicited ideas for future scenarios in AoNZ from participants with expertise spanning conservation and biosecurity management and policy, invasive predator control, climate change, economics, social science, forestry, indigenous rights and environmental monitoring. From an initial list of 10 ideas, we selected four scenarios to develop in more detail during a one-day workshop. Following the workshop, we generated detailed written descriptions and summaries of these four scenarios exploring the opportunities and risks of each scenario across four key sectors: environment, policy, economics, and society.\r \r Kevin Collins (Collins Consulting) facilitated the workshop. Workshop participants included Anne-Gaelle Ausseil (Ministry for the Environment), Michael Berardozzi (Ministry for Primary Industries), Brad Case (Auckland University of Technology), Spencer Clubb (Ministry for the Environment), Adam Forbes (Forbes Ecology), Suzie Greenhalgh (Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research), Catherine Kirby (Eco-index), Aisling Rayne (Cawthron Institute), Moana Tuwhare (Mather Solutions), Judy van Rossem (Waikato Regional Council), and Anita Wreford (Lincoln University). Dean Anderson (Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research), Amanda Black (Bioprotection Aotearoa, Lincoln University), and Jean Morton (summer student, University of Canterbury) also provided ideas and feedback on the scenarios.\r \r ##Using scenarios to prioritise research that supports future weed management##\r \r We explored how the changes described in these four scenarios could affect weed invasion, and thus future opportunities and challenges likely to be faced by those who manage weeds. We held a series of online workshops with practitioners from regional councils and territorial authorities, central government agencies, community groups, Māori groups, research advisors, and pest control contractors to collate their perspectives on management challenges and priorities under each scenario, and on research they would find most useful to meet those management needs. We then convened a workshop with researchers working in plant invasion ecology and management from universities, CRIs, and DOC to investigate how each scenario might change invasion dynamics and weed management, incorporate practitioner perspectives, and identify research priorities to help meet these future management needs.\r \r Rowan Sprague (Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research) facilitated the workshop. Workshop participants included Christopher Buddenhagen (AgResearch), Richard Duncan (University of Canberra), Nikki Harcourt (Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research), Philip Hulme (Bioprotection Aotearoa, Lincoln University), Hao Ran Lai (Bioprotection Aotearoa, University of Canterbury), Zohar Marshall (Bioprotection Aotearoa, Lincoln University), Kate McAlpine (Department of Conservation), Fiona Thomson (Department of Conservation), and Billy van Uitregt (Victoria University of Wellington). Amanda Black (Bioprotection Aotearoa, Lincoln University), Ronny Groenteman (Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research) and Christopher McGrannachan (Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research) also provided ideas and feedback.\r \r \r This provides a roadmap for future-oriented plant invasions research and is an example of how these scenarios could be used to plan research, policy, and management strategies now to meet conservation and management needs in future across a range of issues and disciplines. We encourage local and central government, as well as universities and research institutes, to consider these scenarios to stimulate long-term thinking and planning.\r \r """ ; dct:identifier "5cebedd5-f747-4eea-886a-37a367024393" ; dct:issued "2024-03-26T20:59:03.656199"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-08-12T04:47:39.457881"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:publisher ; dct:title "Non-native invasive plants as a threat to biological heritage" ; dcat:contactPoint [ a vcard:Organization ; vcard:fn "['Bufford, Jennifer L.', 'Brandt, Angela J.', 'Sprague, Rowan', 'Peltzer, Duane A.']" ] ; dcat:distribution , , , , , , , , , , , , ; dcat:keyword "Biological invasion", "Biosecurity", "Global change", "Governance", "Land use", "Management planning", "Māori governance", "Research planning", "Scenario development", "Socio-ecological dynamics", "Strategic foresight", "Weeds" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Summary and description of scenario including the environmental, policy and management, economic, and social opportunities and risks. This scenario explored predator eradication: Rats, possums and mustelids are heavily suppressed or functionally eliminated nationwide as a result of a largely successful Predator Free 2050 programme, with some increase in control of other invasive mammals as well." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:17:16.031906"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:17:16.031906"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Scenario 3 – Predator eradication" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 184405.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Glossary of terms in te reo Māori (the Māori language) used in the scenario descriptions." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:19:21.916576"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:19:21.916576"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Te reo Māori glossary" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 59194.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Questions provided to participants before the workshop to prompt thinking about the underlying drivers and processes, and effects, of each of the four scenarios we would explore further during the workshop." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:14:44.084020"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:14:44.084020"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Scenarios workshop preparation" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 45661.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description """###Anticipating Aotearoa’s Weedy Futures - Identifying future weed research and management needs###\r \r **March 2024**\r \r Our biosecurity system is currently buckling under the burden of ‘legacy weeds’ - not to mention the threat of new weeds.\r \r While we can’t see the future, we can anticipate some of these changes, and do the research needed to better anticipate, prepare, and be ready to respond when change comes. \r """ ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-03-26T21:02:07.064831"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-03-26T21:02:07.064831"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "BRIEF: Anticipating Aotearoa's weedy future " ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 5127804.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Summary and description of scenario including the environmental, policy and management, economic, and social opportunities and risks. This scenario explored native afforestation: Native production forest replaces the use of non-native (exotic) trees for commercial harvest and native permanent forest is created through reforestation of marginal lands for ecosystem services including carbon sequestration." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:16:34.597980"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:16:34.597980"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Scenario 2 – Native afforestation" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 191449.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Summary and description of scenario including the environmental, policy and management, economic, and social opportunities and risks. This scenario explored increasing extreme weather events: Climate change results in increasing frequency, scale and intensity of extreme events, including fires, storms and flooding, with significant impacts on infrastructure, funding policies, and persistence of native biodiversity." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:18:30.330400"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:18:30.330400"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Scenario 4 – Increasing extreme events" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 200246.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "We compiled expert opinions to create a list of 10 possible scenarios for Aotearoa New Zealand in 2050. Four of these were selected by the group as scenarios to develop in more detail." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:11:49.515905"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:11:49.515905"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "List of scenarios considered" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 63018.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Questions provided to participants before the workshop to prompt thinking about how the four future scenarios for Aotearoa New Zealand could influence weed invasion and management, and what types of research would be most useful to address these future challenges and needs." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:21:48.061182"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:21:48.061182"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Invasions workshop preparation" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 38081.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Questions posed to practitioners during a series of online workshops exploring weed management implications of the four future scenarios and a brief summary of the approach taken for those workshops." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:19:48.011536"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:19:48.011536"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Practitioner workshop materials" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 32654.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description """###Online quick-fire presentation from Crazy & Ambitious 4: Anticipating Aotearoa’s weedy future\r \r **April 2024**\r \r Online quick-fire presentation from Crazy & Ambitious 4: Anticipating Aotearoa’s weedy future, with Angela Brandt, Manaaki Whenua Landcare Research.""" ; dct:issued "2024-08-12T03:54:05.662136"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-08-12T03:54:05.662136"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "WEBINAR: C&A4 Aotearoa's weedy future " ; dcat:accessURL . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Summary and description of scenario including the environmental, policy and management, economic, and social opportunities and risks. This scenario examined increased Māori land tenure: As a result of Treaty settlements and changes in governance structure, indigenous Māori communities manage large tracts of land and Māori voices are consistently represented in land management decision-making locally and nationally." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:15:41.933724"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:15:41.933724"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Scenario 1 – Māori land tenure" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 153465.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description "Summary of the weed management implications and needed research under four future scenarios provided by a range of practitioners in a series of online workshops." ; dct:format "PDF" ; dct:issued "2024-04-23T21:21:07.241034"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-04-23T21:21:07.241034"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "Practitioner Workshops Summary" ; dcat:accessURL ; dcat:byteSize 156827.0 ; dcat:mediaType "application/pdf" . a dcat:Distribution ; dct:description """###Online presentation from Crazy & Ambitious 4: Future scenarios and plant invasions\r \r **April 2024**\r \r Online quick-fire presentation from Crazy & Ambitious 4: Future scenarios and plant invasions, with Jennifer Bufford, Manaaki Whenua Landcare Research""" ; dct:issued "2024-08-12T04:47:39.494433"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:modified "2024-08-12T04:47:39.494433"^^xsd:dateTime ; dct:title "WEBINAR: C&A4 Future scenario plant invasions" ; dcat:accessURL . a foaf:Organization ; foaf:name "Challenge Inventory" .